── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Arthur Rinderknech
64%36%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 5-7 7-5 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(6) 1-6 7-5 |
| 2021-01-17 | Istanbul 1 CH | Hard | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(7) 6-1 6-4 |