── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
71%29%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#18
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Brandon Nakashima■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-29WashingtonHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-4
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR16Tomas Martin Etcheverry3-6 7-6(5) 6-4