── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Ugo Humbert
64%36%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Ugo Humbert
84th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Ugo Humbert
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Brandon Nakashima■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–4
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-01TokyoHardR32Ugo Humbert6-3 6-2
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR64Ugo Humbert6-3 4-6 6-4
2024-09-25TokyoHardR16Ugo Humbert6-3 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR32Ugo Humbert7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
2022-05-09Rome MastersClayQ1Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenHardQ2Ugo Humbert7-6(4) 6-3