── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
81%19%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 7-6(6) |