── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
51%49%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#22
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 7-6(3) |