── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Valentin Vacherot
44%56%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23AcapulcoHardQFBrandon Nakashima2-6 6-2 6-3
2018-09-17USA F25HardR32Brandon Nakashima7-6(6) 6-3