── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Valentin Vacherot
58%42%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 2-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2018-09-17 | USA F25 | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(6) 6-3 |