── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Sebastian Baez
75%25%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 6-1 6-0 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 6-3 6-4 |