── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Bu Yunchaokete
63%37%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CHN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaBu Yunchaokete
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Brandon Nakashima6-4 4-6 7-6(1) 6-4