── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Jesper De Jong
64%36%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#84
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 6-7(5) 2-6 6-2 7-6(7) |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q2 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |