── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
55%45%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 95% / 5%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#51
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Brandon Nakashima6-3 7-5
2021-11-08NextGen FinalsHardRRBrandon Nakashima4-1 3-4(3) 4-1 4-0
2020-01-13M25 Rancho Santa Fe CAHardR16Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-0