── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Jack Draper
60%40%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–2
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | QF | Jack Draper | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Jack Draper | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Bergamo CH | Hard | SF | Jack Draper | 6-1 3-6 7-5 |
| 2022-11-07 | NextGen Finals | Hard | SF | Brandon Nakashima | 4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5) |