── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Jacob Fearnley
80%20%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GBR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 |