── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Mattia Bellucci
70%30%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-06-03 | Surbiton CH | Grass | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-7(4) 7-5 7-6(4) |
| 2024-02-19 | Pau CH | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 3-6 6-4 7-6(2) |