── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Luciano Darderi
63%37%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 7-5 6-7(7) 6-2 |