── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Luciano Darderi
48%52%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-2 7-5
2025-05-18HamburgClayR16Luciano Darderi7-5 6-7(7) 6-2