── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Coleman Wong
76%24%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 82% / 18%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Coleman Wong
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#143
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
HKG
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaColeman Wong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Delray BeachHardR16Coleman Wong6-4 7-6(4)
2024-09-18HangzhouHardR16Brandon Nakashima6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-1