── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Ignacio Buse
68%32%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#58
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
PER
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Brandon Nakashima■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-17Queen's ClubGrassR16Brandon Nakashima6-2 6-2