── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Raphael Collignon
40%60%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings