── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Raphael Collignon
66%34%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Raphael Collignon
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#55
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Brandon Nakashima■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQFBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Brandon Nakashima6-5 RET
2024-01-22Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve CHHardR16Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-2