── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Arthur Fils
29%71%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–2
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2023-08-21 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Arthur Fils | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |