── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Jakub Mensik
51%49%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CZE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Jakub Mensik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Brandon Nakashima | 6-1 3-6 10-7 |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | Q1 | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | SF | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 7-5 |