── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Ethan Quinn
63%37%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaEthan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Brandon Nakashima7-6(6) 6-4
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-4