── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Rafael Jodar
41%59%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
USA
country
ESP
188cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Canada Masters | Hard | SF | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(3) 6-4 |