── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Emilio Nava
Matteo Berrettini
34%66%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 8% / 92%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Emilio Nava
12th · poor
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#92
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Emilio NavaMatteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23SantiagoClayR32Emilio Nava6-3 6-4