── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Emilio Nava
Matteo Berrettini
30%70%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 5% / 95%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Emilio Nava
9th · poor
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#115
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Emilio Nava■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23SantiagoClayR32Emilio Nava6-3 6-4