── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Emilio Nava 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Emilio Nava
Tomas Barrios Vera
58%42%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Emilio Nava
12th · poor
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#121
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Emilio Nava■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
Hard1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Oeiras 4 CH | Clay | QF | Emilio Nava | 2-6 6-4 7-6(9) |
| 2025-04-07 | Sarasota CH | Clay | QF | Emilio Nava | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2025-03-17 | Asuncion CH | Clay | QF | Emilio Nava | 2-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | Q1 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 7-6(0) 7-6(3) |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | Q1 | Emilio Nava | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2020-10-12 | Alicante CH | Clay | Q1 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 6-2 6-0 |