── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Emilio Nava
Valentin Vacherot
27%73%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Emilio Nava
9th · poor
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#115
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Emilio Nava■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Emilio Nava6-7(5) 7-6(1) 6-3