── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Bu Yunchaokete 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
Fabio Fognini
68%32%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#78
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
ITA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Bu YunchaoketeFabio Fognini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-13Turin CHClayR16Bu Yunchaokete7-5 6-2