── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Bu Yunchaokete 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
Fabio Fognini
75%25%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
68th · average
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
19th · poor
Fabio Fognini
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#153
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
ITA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Bu Yunchaokete■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-13Turin CHClayR16Bu Yunchaokete7-5 6-2