── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Bu Yunchaokete 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
David Goffin
65%35%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg
David Goffin
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#78
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
BEL
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Bu YunchaoketeDavid Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR64Bu Yunchaokete6-4 7-5