── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
Stefanos Tsitsipas
39%61%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#78
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
GRE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Bu YunchaoketeStefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemHardR32Bu Yunchaokete6-3 6-2