── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Bu Yunchaokete 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
Jacob Fearnley
61%39%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
68th · average
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
19th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#91
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
GBR
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Bu Yunchaokete■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–1
Clay0–1
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-08Ilkley CHGrassFBu Yunchaokete6-3 7-6(1)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Jacob Fearnley6-3 7-6(2)
2024-08-05Lincoln CHHardSFJacob Fearnley0-6 6-0 7-6(3)
2024-06-10Nottingham CHGrassR32Jacob Fearnley6-2 7-5