── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bu Yunchaokete
Rafael Jodar
27%73%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bu Yunchaokete
68th · average
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Bu Yunchaokete
19th · poor
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
CHN
country
ESP
185cm
height
—
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Bu Yunchaokete■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-02US OpenHardR128Bu Yunchaokete6-2 6-1 6-1