── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Stan Wawrinka
58%42%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
SUI
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4 |