── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Stan Wawrinka
54%46%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#112
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
SUI
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jesper De Jong■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Jesper De Jong6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4