── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Roberto Carballes Baena
65%35%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Cattolica CH | Clay | F | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Murcia CH | Clay | SF | Roberto Carballes Baena | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |