── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Mitchell Krueger
77%23%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#84
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
USA
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jesper De JongMitchell Krueger
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ3Jesper De Jong6-4 6-1