── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Karen Khachanov
23%77%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 12% / 88%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
RUS
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 7-5 5-7 6-2 6-7(2) 6-2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 |