── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Kamil Majchrzak
47%53%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#84
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
POL
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jesper De JongKamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardQ1Jesper De Jong4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2025-03-31MarrakechClayR16Kamil Majchrzak7-6(3) 6-1