── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Jan Choinski
48%52%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
GBR
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | Q1 | Jan Choinski | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2024-03-25 | Girona CH | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-3 |