── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Pedro Martinez
68%32%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#151
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Jesper De Jong | 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2024-03-25 | Girona CH | Clay | QF | Pedro Martinez | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 |