── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52%48%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#120
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Murcia CH | Clay | QF | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Jesper De Jong | 7-5 7-6(6) |