── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Mariano Navone
33%67%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Mariano Navone
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#84
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ARG
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jesper De JongMariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClayR16Jesper De Jong6-3 6-4