── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Francesco Passaro
63%37%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Francesco Passaro
44th · average
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Francesco Passaro
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#161
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ITA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Francesco Passaro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Jesper De Jong | 2-6 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jesper De Jong | 3-6 6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2024-04-29 | Cagliari CH | Clay | Q2 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(1) |