── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Vilius Gaubas
60%40%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Vilius Gaubas
15th · poor
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Vilius Gaubas
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#150
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
LTU
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Vilius Gaubas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Bastad | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | Q1 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-4 |