── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Tristan Schoolkate
69%31%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#84
model rank
#154
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jesper De JongTristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardQ1Jesper De Jong4-6 7-6(5) 6-4