── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jakub Mensik 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jesper De Jong
Jakub Mensik
23%77%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Return
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#84
model rank
#13
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
CZE
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jesper De JongJakub Mensik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Jesper De Jong4-6 7-6(2) 6-4