── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jesper De Jong
Joao Fonseca
20%80%
Hard: 9% / 91%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Return
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
BRA
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jesper De Jong■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Joao Fonseca | 6-1 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-04-27 | Estoril CH | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 6-2 7-5 |