── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Stan Wawrinka
81%19%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SUI
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-0 7-6(2) |