── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Adrian Mannarino
78%22%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#107
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |