── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Adrian Mannarino
84%16%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |