── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
David Goffin
86%14%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
David Goffin
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#141
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-0 6-2 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | David Goffin | 1-6 7-6(6) 6-2 |
| 2024-05-13 | Turin CH | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 3-6 7-5 6-4 3-6 7-6(9) |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-0 7-5 7-6(3) |