── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Nikoloz Basilashvili
81%19%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#105
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GEO
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass0–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-06-06 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 7-5 6-3 |