── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Cameron Norrie
63%37%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#12
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
GBR
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo MusettiCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR32Cameron Norrie3-6 6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR32Lorenzo Musetti6-1 6-2 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaClayR16Lorenzo Musetti3-6 6-4 6-1