── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Alexandre Muller
85%15%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-04-03 | Marrakech | Clay | QF | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 1-6 6-4 |

