── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Alexandre Muller
85%15%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#12
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo MusettiAlexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardQFLorenzo Musetti6-2 6-4
2023-04-03MarrakechClayQFAlexandre Muller6-3 1-6 6-4