── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Andrey Rublev
55%45%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#27
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | SF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-7(3) 7-5 6-4 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |